On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts
On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills
An Analytic Derivation of the Cost of Deposit Insurance and Loan Guarantees : An Application of Modern Option Pricing Theory
Generalized Mean-Variance Tradeoffs for Best Perturbation Corrections to Approximate Portfolio Decisions